Should cities that have declared themselves sanctuaries face greater federal pressure on immigration enforcement, or is local discretion still preferable?

Clermont, Florida Correspondent — Immigration enforcement is a federal responsibility, but cities and counties absorb the daily effects on policing, schools, and budgets, and that's where the argument actually lives. Complete local non-cooperation makes enforcement harder and produces uneven application of the law across a metro area. Turning every local police department into an immigration … Continue reading Should cities that have declared themselves sanctuaries face greater federal pressure on immigration enforcement, or is local discretion still preferable?

Will the midterm elections of 2018 produce a meaningful shift in the balance of power between Congress and the executive branch?

Dayton, Ohio Correspondent — Midterms usually act as a check when one party holds the White House, and I'd expect this one to run true to form. If the opposition takes the House you get aggressive oversight, subpoenas, and resistance to the agenda. That's a real shift in the day-to-day even if the Senate stays … Continue reading Will the midterm elections of 2018 produce a meaningful shift in the balance of power between Congress and the executive branch?

How should Western governments respond to the increasing use of social-media platforms by foreign actors to influence domestic political debates?

Wheeling, West Virginia Correspondent — Foreign attempts to stir up division aren't new. My father's union dealt with people who turned up to make a strike worse on somebody else's instructions. What's new is the speed and the price. Governments need better detection and public attribution when a campaign is clearly state-directed. Platforms have to … Continue reading How should Western governments respond to the increasing use of social-media platforms by foreign actors to influence domestic political debates?

Should the Federal Reserve begin reducing its balance sheet more aggressively even if it risks tighter financial conditions later in the year?

Owatonna, MN Correspondent — The balance sheet is still far larger than it was before the crisis, and gradual reduction is appropriate for exactly that reason. It got that way over years and it should come down over years. Moving aggressively risks a sharp tightening the real economy may not be ready to absorb. The … Continue reading Should the Federal Reserve begin reducing its balance sheet more aggressively even if it risks tighter financial conditions later in the year?

Is the rapid growth of online political advertising and micro-targeting creating a permanent disadvantage for candidates who lack sophisticated data operations?

Prescott Valley, AZ Correspondent — The tools have changed the cost of entry, and I'd distinguish that from changing the cost of winning. Candidates who can afford serious digital operations can test messages, find narrow audiences, and spend more efficiently than those relying on broadcast and field. That doesn't make victory automatic. It does create … Continue reading Is the rapid growth of online political advertising and micro-targeting creating a permanent disadvantage for candidates who lack sophisticated data operations?

Will the escalating trade disputes with China produce lasting changes in global supply chains, or will most companies simply absorb higher costs and move on?

Dayton, Ohio Correspondent — We're already seeing companies redesign around the tariffs rather than swallow them. Some final assembly is moving back or going to Mexico and Southeast Asia. The high-value components and the tooling generally stay in China, because the supplier ecosystem there is still deeper than anywhere else and a tool shop isn't … Continue reading Will the escalating trade disputes with China produce lasting changes in global supply chains, or will most companies simply absorb higher costs and move on?

How has the Trump administration’s “zero-tolerance” policy and the resulting family separations at the U.S.-Mexico border affected both domestic politics and America’s international standing?

Tyler, Texas Correspondent I write policies for people who would rather not read them, so let me start with the part of this story that nobody in Washington wanted to read either. Zero tolerance was not a new law. It was a decision, announced by the Attorney General in April, to prosecute every adult who … Continue reading How has the Trump administration’s “zero-tolerance” policy and the resulting family separations at the U.S.-Mexico border affected both domestic politics and America’s international standing?

Did the historic Singapore summit between President Trump and Kim Jong-un meaningfully advance denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, or was it largely symbolic?

Sheffield, Jamaica Correspondent I have spent a good part of my working life studying how small states negotiate with large ones, and the first lesson of that study is that the small state's objective is almost never the thing written on the agenda. The agenda says trade, or security, or in this case denuclearization. The … Continue reading Did the historic Singapore summit between President Trump and Kim Jong-un meaningfully advance denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, or was it largely symbolic?

After the Parkland school shooting and the March for Our Lives movement, has the political debate over gun violence in the U.S. shifted in any lasting way?

Prescott Valley, Arizona Correspondent I taught in public schools for the better part of two decades, which means I have run lockdown drills with children who did not understand why and with teenagers who understood exactly why, and I have sat in faculty meetings where the question of what we would actually do if it … Continue reading After the Parkland school shooting and the March for Our Lives movement, has the political debate over gun violence in the U.S. shifted in any lasting way?

What are the strategic consequences of the United States withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA)?

Clermont, Florida Correspondent I advise small professional firms for a living, and the most common mistake I see is a partner who tears up a contract because it is a bad contract without first asking what he intends to replace it with. The old agreement was flawed. Everyone agreed it was flawed. That is not … Continue reading What are the strategic consequences of the United States withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA)?