Clermont, FL Correspondent — Strict enforcement without workable channels produces repeated waves. Channels without enforcement produce the same inflows under different paperwork. The enforcement half is now demonstrated rather than theoretical. Crossings are at levels not seen in decades and interior removals ran to several hundred thousand this year. So the question has narrowed usefully. … Continue reading How should the United States balance stricter border enforcement with the practical need for legal pathways that match labor-market demand?
Annual Symposium
After a full year, did the administration demonstrate that significant policy change is possible within the existing administrative structure, or that institutional inertia remains dominant?
Dayton, Ohio Correspondent — A year in, the answer has more evidence behind it than it did in March. Direction changed fast where the law already left room — enforcement choices, permitting emphasis, regulatory pauses. That's changing the process sheet and it matters. The machinery is a different story. What the year actually demonstrated is … Continue reading After a full year, did the administration demonstrate that significant policy change is possible within the existing administrative structure, or that institutional inertia remains dominant?
Is the increasing politicization of once-neutral institutions now a greater long-term risk than any single policy failure?
Wheeling, WV Correspondent — Policy failures can be corrected by later elections. A shared factual and procedural baseline can't be restored the same way. I'd say the part that makes this question hard rather than easy in December. The coalition that has spent a decade making this argument is about to hold the executive branch. … Continue reading Is the increasing politicization of once-neutral institutions now a greater long-term risk than any single policy failure?
Is the current structure of the Electoral College still the best available mechanism for balancing national and federal interests in presidential selection?
Prescott Valley, AZ Correspondent — This question reads differently than it would have in October, and that's the useful thing about answering it now. The winner carried the popular vote. So the argument most people have actually been having for twenty-four years — that the mechanism produces winners the country didn't choose — didn't arise … Continue reading Is the current structure of the Electoral College still the best available mechanism for balancing national and federal interests in presidential selection?
How should policymakers address the continued divergence between asset-price performance and the economic experience of lower- and middle-income households?
Clermont, FL Correspondent — Asset prices have been supported by low rates and concentrated ownership. Households experience the economy through wages, rent, food, and insurance. The insurance line is the one that's changed most in this state and it's absent from every national discussion. Premiums here have risen by multiples, not percentages, and for a … Continue reading How should policymakers address the continued divergence between asset-price performance and the economic experience of lower- and middle-income households?
Will the next generation of AI systems produce a significant, measurable increase in overall economic productivity within the next five years?
Dayton, OH Correspondent — Task-level gains are real and the aggregate hasn't appeared, and both of those have been true for two years now. The manufacturing view is that the useful applications are unglamorous — inspection, scheduling, predictive maintenance — and they're being adopted steadily without anyone calling it a revolution. Five years is enough … Continue reading Will the next generation of AI systems produce a significant, measurable increase in overall economic productivity within the next five years?
Should the United States begin a deliberate process of prioritizing its global military commitments rather than attempting to maintain all of them indefinitely?
Dayton, OH Correspondent — Resources and industrial capacity are finite and holding every line at readiness stretches all of them. The production numbers are the argument. We've been supplying one war for nearly three years and the artillery expansion is still short of what that single theatre consumes. There is no version of the current … Continue reading Should the United States begin a deliberate process of prioritizing its global military commitments rather than attempting to maintain all of them indefinitely?
Is the growing reliance on executive action to achieve major policy goals a temporary response to congressional gridlock or a lasting change in governance?
Prescott Valley, AZ Correspondent — It expands when Congress won't legislate, both parties use it, and the pattern has persisted long enough to be a shift rather than a workaround. What's different heading into January is that unified control removes the usual excuse. A party with the House, the Senate, and the presidency can legislate. … Continue reading Is the growing reliance on executive action to achieve major policy goals a temporary response to congressional gridlock or a lasting change in governance?
Will the combination of elevated interest rates and high government debt eventually force a fiscal adjustment that neither party appears prepared to make?
Owatonna, MN Correspondent — Higher rates raise the cost of servicing the stock and high deficits keep adding to it. The number that ended the abstraction this year is that net interest exceeded defense spending. That's not a projection. It's the ledger, and it happened while both parties campaigned on programs that assume it away. … Continue reading Will the combination of elevated interest rates and high government debt eventually force a fiscal adjustment that neither party appears prepared to make?
Should the federal government continue expansive industrial policy, or shift toward broader reforms that improve the general climate for investment — and how should it reduce dependence on adversarial nations for critical minerals and pharmaceutical ingredients?
Dayton, OH Correspondent — Expansive industrial policy can accelerate capacity in narrow strategic sectors. As a general method it allocates capital by political preference and raises costs for everything unsubsidized. What's now visible is the execution record. Manufacturing construction spending is at a record and a substantial share of the announced projects haven't broken ground, … Continue reading Should the federal government continue expansive industrial policy, or shift toward broader reforms that improve the general climate for investment — and how should it reduce dependence on adversarial nations for critical minerals and pharmaceutical ingredients?
