Myrtle Beach, SC Both halves are partly right and the arithmetic settles which one matters more, so let me do the arithmetic. Total US foreign assistance runs somewhere under seventy billion dollars a year. USAID's share was around forty billion. Federal outlays are roughly six and three-quarter trillion. So the entire foreign aid budget is … Continue reading Do cuts and pauses in foreign-aid and humanitarian vehicles prove that a lot of spending had no domestic constituency — or that efficiency campaigns always start with the least-lobbied accounts rather than the largest ones?
politics
Is the increasing politicization of once-neutral institutions now a greater long-term risk than any single policy failure?
Wheeling, WV Correspondent — Policy failures can be corrected by later elections. A shared factual and procedural baseline can't be restored the same way. I'd say the part that makes this question hard rather than easy in December. The coalition that has spent a decade making this argument is about to hold the executive branch. … Continue reading Is the increasing politicization of once-neutral institutions now a greater long-term risk than any single policy failure?
Is the current structure of the Electoral College still the best available mechanism for balancing national and federal interests in presidential selection?
Prescott Valley, AZ Correspondent — This question reads differently than it would have in October, and that's the useful thing about answering it now. The winner carried the popular vote. So the argument most people have actually been having for twenty-four years — that the mechanism produces winners the country didn't choose — didn't arise … Continue reading Is the current structure of the Electoral College still the best available mechanism for balancing national and federal interests in presidential selection?
Will the combination of elevated interest rates and high government debt eventually force a fiscal adjustment that neither party appears prepared to make?
Owatonna, MN Correspondent — Higher rates raise the cost of servicing the stock and high deficits keep adding to it. The number that ended the abstraction this year is that net interest exceeded defense spending. That's not a projection. It's the ledger, and it happened while both parties campaigned on programs that assume it away. … Continue reading Will the combination of elevated interest rates and high government debt eventually force a fiscal adjustment that neither party appears prepared to make?
Did the presidential election produce a lasting realignment of the major-party coalitions, or another high-turnout polarized contest?
Wheeling, WV Correspondent — We now have a result rather than a forecast, and the result is more interesting than either camp's account of it. Nearly every county in the country moved in the same direction. Not the swing states — every county, including places that were never contested and had no advertising and no … Continue reading Did the presidential election produce a lasting realignment of the major-party coalitions, or another high-turnout polarized contest?
Regardless of who wins, has the 2024 campaign exposed structural weaknesses in the primary system, debate format, campaign finance, or party institutions that should be reformed before 2028?
Prescott Valley, Arizona Correspondent — Yes, and this is the question I'd most like the winner to take seriously, precisely because nobody has any incentive to. The primary process again compressed serious scrutiny and rewarded early momentum. Debate formats struggled to hold order and substance. Campaign finance continues to route influence through outside groups while … Continue reading Regardless of who wins, has the 2024 campaign exposed structural weaknesses in the primary system, debate format, campaign finance, or party institutions that should be reformed before 2028?
Briefly, what are the three or four most consequential issues the winner must confront in the first year, and which candidate is better equipped to address them?
Clermont, Florida Correspondent — Restore operational control at the border and fix the asylum mismatch. Address cost-of-living pressure through energy production, housing supply, and spending discipline. Rebuild deterrence in the Middle East and hold a competitive stance toward China without new open-ended wars. Signal fiscal seriousness on the debt path. Trump's record and stated priorities … Continue reading Briefly, what are the three or four most consequential issues the winner must confront in the first year, and which candidate is better equipped to address them?
Early voting, mail ballots, and state-level election rules again differ widely. Do current procedures strengthen or weaken confidence in the result, and is further national standardization desirable or dangerous?
Prescott Valley, Arizona Correspondent — Variation in rules can be healthy. Large gaps in verification, deadlines, and chain of custody are not. Confidence is strengthened by clear, stable standards and transparent counting. Limited national baselines on integrity measures would raise confidence without federalizing every procedure. The operational risk I'd name today is different from the … Continue reading Early voting, mail ballots, and state-level election rules again differ widely. Do current procedures strengthen or weaken confidence in the result, and is further national standardization desirable or dangerous?
Trust in media, technology platforms, universities, and intelligence institutions continues to decline. Can the next administration meaningfully improve institutional credibility, or has the problem moved beyond the reach of any single president?
Wheeling, West Virginia Correspondent — Institutional credibility is a structural problem. A president can stop adding to the distrust and can reduce official pressure on platforms and agencies to police speech. Trump has been the consistent antagonist of the institutions that lost the most trust. That antagonism is often undisciplined and the underlying diagnosis is … Continue reading Trust in media, technology platforms, universities, and intelligence institutions continues to decline. Can the next administration meaningfully improve institutional credibility, or has the problem moved beyond the reach of any single president?
Abortion policy after Dobbs has returned largely to the states, yet it remains a national campaign issue. How significant should it be in voters’ decisions, and what are the realistic federal limits of either candidate’s position?
Prescott Valley, Arizona Correspondent — Dobbs returned the core policy choice to the states. Trump has taken a more restrained federal position than many in his party preferred, treating the question as largely settled at the state level. The alternative seeks to re-nationalize it through federal legislation. Voters who wanted the decision returned to the … Continue reading Abortion policy after Dobbs has returned largely to the states, yet it remains a national campaign issue. How significant should it be in voters’ decisions, and what are the realistic federal limits of either candidate’s position?
